Small-caps, on average, outperform large-caps by about a percentage point for the six months after a 50 basis point cut, she writes, and the majority of those periods see small-caps outperform by any degree. They average about three percentage points of superior returns over the 12 months following such a rate cut.
Yes, small cap mfs are good on long term investment. 20 years time period is considered as a appropriate view on smallcap investment. That is because smallcap mfs are normally aggressive in nature. Once volatility will come, the first customer which will jump first to fire it will smallcap.
Not only have small-cap stocks historically outperformed their larger peers, but they've done so strongly, by an annual average of more than 300 basis points (bps), and consistently, more than 69% of the time (Figure 1).
While small-cap stocks can generate higher returns, they also have a higher risk profile. Conversely, large-cap stocks witness smaller growth but are more stable. Investors should consider investing in both for a balanced portfolio.
We expect small-cap earnings growth could exceed that of large-cap stocks in 2025, aided by easier earnings comparisons.
Most investors think smaller companies underperform in a recession. In most cases, they are correct. However, what's less well-known is that small caps usually exit recessions quicker than assumed – outperforming large caps. This rebound can begin as early as three months into an economic downturn.
Given the changing macroeconomic backdrop, we outline why we see potential value for investors in small caps in 2024. The consensus is that interest rates look to have peaked, with markets now pricing in cuts across many major economies in 2024, something which could prove beneficial to small caps.
Since the Russell 2000® began tracking the performance of small-cap stocks in 1979, the stock index has broadly matched, if not slightly exceeded, the performance of the venerable S&P 500® index of large-cap stocks (Figure 1).
As of October 19, 2024, the small cap index was overvalued at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 33.39, while the 3 year long term average stands at 24.49. But experts think there are certain sectors within the small cap that are fairly valued.
The main disadvantage of a small-cap fund is its higher risk profile, making it susceptible to market volatility and economic downturns.
Filter. Small Cap Fund : These mutual funds select stocks for investment from the small cap category, which includes all stocks except largest 250 stocks (by market capitalization). Suitable For : Investors who are looking to invest money for at least 3-4 years and looking for very high returns.
Small-cap mutual funds perform well over a long period of time i:e over a period of 10yrs and above. However, over a short period of time, they tend to be very volatile, and you can hardly get any return or else even negative return.
While small caps have historically outperformed their large-cap brethren in periods when annual inflation has exceeded 1%, the higher interest rates that come when central banks try to reduce high inflation can be challenging for small companies.
Small-cap funds are riskier than large-cap funds and may not be suitable for everyone. Small-cap companies are more sensitive to market changes and can experience sudden and wide price fluctuations. Small-cap companies are less popular and smaller in size, making their stock less liquid.
Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)
The Invesco QQQ Trust is a go-to ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index. It's outperformed the S&P 500 in seven out of the last 10 years, all for a reasonable 0.2% expense ratio. It slightly trails the S&P's one-year return, but only slightly, and it thrashed the S&P in full-year 2023.
S&P 500 Index Versus Nasdaq 100 Performance
Nasdaq 100 has significantly outperformed S&P 500 in terms of performance. Over the past 15 years, Nasdaq 100 has delivered a CAGR of around 16%, while S&P 500 has returned about 8%.
However, the highly overstretched valuation of large-cap stocks, together with a few positive developments may shift market participants' preference from large to small-cap stocks. At this stage, we recommend small cap stocks with a favorable Zacks Rank that have strong growth potential for 2025.
However, numerous small-cap stocks do not have the capacity to handle exceptionally large trading volumes. In other words, small-cap stocks can face liquidity constraints. Small Cap Mutual Funds also find it challenging to invest the inflows worth crores they are getting each month amid stretched valuations.
Don't use funds that you need soon.
Make sure you have the time horizon to weather any losses, or hold your cash in stable assets like an interest-bearing savings or checking account, money market fund, or CD—especially if you're expecting a large expense or purchase in the short-term.
Rebound Potential: The initiation of rate cuts by central banks, signalling a move towards a more normalised interest rate environment, could reduce the performance gap between small and large cap stocks. This environment may favour small cap stocks, indicating a potential rebound.