A bank account is typically the safest place for your cash, even during an economic downturn... Even if you still have a paycheck coming in during the coronavirus situation, your financial future might seem uncertain -- and you might be feeling the need to stock up on cash, in addition to toilet paper and canned goods.
Seek Out Core Sector Stocks
If you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy.
Cash is a good asset to hold before a financial crisis. In a financial crisis, most assets will fall in price. This makes cash more valuable. As the prices of assets fall, you can buy them at historically low values. Shorted stock is a good asset to have before a financial crisis.
What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.
Don't use funds that you need soon.
Make sure you have the time horizon to weather any losses, or hold your cash in stable assets like an interest-bearing savings or checking account, money market fund, or CD—especially if you're expecting a large expense or purchase in the short-term.
The industries known to fare better during recessions are generally those that supply the population with essentials we can't live without. They include utilities, healthcare, consumer staples, and, in some pundits' opinions, maybe even technology.
“Holding cash during times of economic uncertainty, like a potential recession, can feel reassuring because it offers liquidity and a sense of control,” said Adam Paoli, the lead financial planner at Coltiva Wealth.
Try not to panic about the scary headlines and remember that staying invested is almost always the best response. Historically speaking, investors who hold on to their investments through recessions see their portfolios completely recover, and individuals who don't invest in the market at all lose out.
Inflation Is Eating Away at Your Funds
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average rate of inflation from April 2023 to April 2024 was 3.4%. If you've been keeping your money in a savings account with a lower yield than the rate of inflation, you should switch over to a higher-yield account.
Credit unions and banks are both insured, with most banks being insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) for up to $250,000 per customer.
Single income: Save six months or more
Generally, single individuals or families with a single income should save at least six months of expenses, experts say. But higher levels of cash reserves could offer more flexibility when faced with a job loss or economic downturn.
The Bottom Line
CDs are a comparatively safe investment. They can provide a stable income regardless of stock market conditions when they're managed properly. Always consider emergency money that you might need in the future when you're thinking of purchasing a CD or starting a CD ladder.
“The demand for travel and hospitality services typically declines as consumers cut back on discretionary spending,” Sarib Rehman, CEO of Flipcost, said. “To attract customers, airlines, hotels and travel agencies often lower their prices and offer more promotions.”
During a recession, it is wise not to invest in high-risk assets, such as small-cap stocks, cryptocurrencies, and overly leveraged companies. These assets are already volatile and risky during good times and will be more so during economic downturns.
Ongoing stock market volatility and record inflation are fueling predictions of a recession. If the predictions are correct, both businesses and individuals will be looking to protect their liquidity and financial security. And one way to accomplish that is by having cash on hand.
Since economists began studying the distributional effects of the Great Depression in the 1940s, it's been thought that inequality and economic growth could be “countercyclical”, meaning that earnings inequality rises during recessions and contracts during periods of economic growth.
Cash is enjoying an unexpected comeback, reflecting the fact that, for many people, physical money remains the ultimate budgeting tool in tricky financial times.
17951), co-authors Hilary Hoynes, Douglas Miller, and Jessamyn Schaller find that the impacts of the Great Recession (December 2007 to June 2009) have been greater for men, for black and Hispanic workers, for young workers, and for less educated workers than for others in the labor market.
Some industries feel the impact of an economic downturn more than others. These industries tend to get hit the hardest. Hospitality and tourism - Many cut down on vacations and travel to save money. Entertainment and leisure - People tend to seek inexpensive, at-home forms of entertainment during a recession.
High-quality, dividend-paying stocks in defensive sectors like utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples can provide relative stability and income. Gold and other precious metals typically perform well during market turmoil as investors seek tangible stores of value.
“While it can be tempting to withdraw all your funds from a bank and keep them at home, banks are typically more secure and offer protection against theft or loss. Plus, keeping money in a bank allows for easier access to funds if needed for emergency expenses or unexpected bills.”
The good news is that recessions generally haven't lasted very long. Our analysis of 11 cycles since 1950 shows that recessions have persisted between two and 18 months, with the average spanning about 10 months.
Are savings accounts safe during a recession? If your savings account is with a financial institution backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) or the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA), your money is safe.