How overvalued is Tesla?

Asked by: Theodore Wyman  |  Last update: January 10, 2026
Score: 4.5/5 (50 votes)

Tesla's Outrageous Valuation Tesla's Non-GAAP trailing 12 months (TTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) stands at 162.2 times, a staggering 945.9% above the sector median of 15.5 times. Even with forward-looking projections, the stock is expensive — the forward Non-GAAP P/E of 156.8 times exceeds the median by 775.2%.

Is the Tesla stock overvalued?

At current prices, we view Tesla shares as overvalued, with the stock trading more than 30% above our fair value estimate.

What will Tesla stock be worth in 5 years?

The stock value may increase to $271.00-431.00 by the end of 2025. However, some analysts expect the rate to decline to $230.49-207.83 in 2025. In 2026, the asset quotes will continue to grow. According to major analytical agencies, the value of TSLA may reach $305.36-471.00.

What is the fair value for Tesla stock?

As of 2025-01-14, the Fair Value of Tesla Inc (TSLA) is 99.24 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 403.31 USD, the upside of Tesla Inc is -75.4%.

What is the true value of Tesla stock?

As of 2025-01-13, the Intrinsic Value of Tesla Inc (TSLA) is 231.02 USD. This Tesla valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 394.74 USD, the upside of Tesla Inc is -41.5%. The range of the Intrinsic Value is 139.75 - 753.85 USD.

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42 related questions found

Is Tesla undervalued?

Tesla Is the Most Undervalued Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Right Now, According to a Top Wall Street Analyst. I'm Not Sure I Agree. Dan Ives is a leading technology analyst on Wall Street, and he thinks Tesla is currently the most undervalued artificial intelligence (AI) stock.

What is the stock price prediction for Tesla in 2030?

Tesla Stock Price Predictions for 2030

End-of-Year 2030: Most Bullish Projection: 1259 (CoinPriceForecast) Most Bearish Projection: 348.87 (Gov Capital)

Is Tesla a buy or sell rating?

Tesla Motors has a consensus rating of Hold which is based on 13 buy ratings, 12 hold ratings and 9 sell ratings. The average price target for Tesla Motors is $322.56. This is based on 34 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

What is the 5 year return of Tesla stock?

The total return for Tesla (TSLA) stock is 83.40% over the past 12 months. So far it's down 0.13% this year. The 5-year total return is 1,052.62%, meaning $100 invested in TSLA stock 5 years ago would be worth $1,152.62 today. Total return includes price appreciation plus reinvesting any dividends paid out.

How much is Tesla in debt?

Total debt on the balance sheet as of September 2024 : $12.78 Billion USD. According to Tesla's latest financial reports the company's total debt is $12.78 Billion USD. A company's total debt is the sum of all current and non-current debts.

What if I invested $1,000 in Tesla 10 years ago?

Here's your answer: If you'd invested $1,000 in shares of Tesla at the beginning of 2015, you'd have a stake worth $27,615 a decade later. That's an average annual gain of around 39%, more than triple the S&P 500's average annual gain of 12%.

Is Tesla a good long-term stock?

Based on the trend of positive earnings estimate revisions, Tesla stock currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Furthermore, the implied governmental support Tesla will receive under the Trump administration does suggest TSLA should remain a viable investment going into 2025.

Will Tesla be around in 10 years?

I believe there's a significant likelihood that Tesla will remain a developer, manufacturer, and seller of EVs a decade from now. There's still a long way to go in terms of adoption, both domestically and abroad. But some investors might not like this perspective.

Is Apple stock overvalued?

Fair Value Estimate for Apple

With its 2-star rating, we believe Apple's stock is overvalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $200 per share, which implies a fiscal 2025 adjusted price/earnings multiple of 27 times, an enterprise value/sales multiple of 7 times, and a free cash flow yield of 4%.

Is Tesla financially healthy?

Tesla is in excellent financial health. Cash, cash equivalents, and investments were over $33.6 billion and far exceeded total debt as of Sept. 30, 2024. Total debt was around $7.4 billion, while total debt excluding vehicle and energy product financing (nonrecourse debt) was a little over $10 million.

What's the highest Tesla stock has ever been?

An investor who bought $1,000 worth of Tesla stock at the IPO in 2010 would have $246,843 today, roughly 247 times their original investment - a. The all-time high Tesla stock closing price was 479.86 on December 17, 2024. The Tesla 52-week high stock price is 488.54, which is 23.8% above the current share price.

What is the 10 year return on Amazon stock?

Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for Amazon.com is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 218.94 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 14.74 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 1,385.6% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 1.00.

Is Tesla overvalued or undervalued?

The intrinsic value of one TSLA stock under the Base Case scenario is 57.58 USD. Compared to the current market price of 388.23 USD, Tesla Inc is Overvalued by 85%.

Is Nvidia a buy right now?

NVDA sits at a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), holds a Momentum Style Score of A, and has a VGM Score of B. The stock is down 5.9% and up 1.2% over the past one-week and four-week period, respectively, and Nvidia has gained 148.4% in the last one-year period as well.

What will Tesla stock be worth in 2027?

The newest price target for Tesla shares for Tesla came in April 2023, with a call for the stock price to hit $2,000 in 2027 and the company's market capitalization to hit $4.4 trillion. The bear-and-bull case for Tesla stock from Ark Invest are $1,400 and $2,500, respectively, for the same time period.

How much will Amazon stock be worth in 5 years?

Of the 47 analysts who recommended Amazon in June, 44 rated it a buy or a strong buy. Forecasters predict that Amazon will reach $200 per share a year from now and will continue to rise to $250 per share at the end of 2026. In 2027, the prediction is for a price of $300, and $250 by the end of 2028.

Is SpaceX part of Tesla stock?

SpaceX is not a public company, it is still privately owned. Tesla, one of Elon Musk's other companies, is a public company.