In a historical sense, a good mortgage rate is generally at or below the national average. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate since 1971 has averaged 7.72%, according to Freddie Mac. In the last year, average mortgage rates mostly fluctuated between 6% and 7%.
Ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's second term, however, the outlook is far less certain. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now expected to stay elevated between 6% and 6.5% for the next two years. Just two months ago, economists thought it would fall to the 5% range by the second half of 2025.
The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.
It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.
While a sub-5 percent mortgage rate may not be possible through traditional means, Sarah DeFlorio, vice president of mortgage banking at William Raveis Mortgage, told Newsweek a rate in the 5s may be achievable through a temporary mortgage rate buydown—particularly a 2-1 buydown.
So a good mortgage rate could look drastically different from one day to the next. Right now, good mortgage rates for a 15-year fixed loan generally start in the high-5% range, while good rates for a 30-year mortgage typically start in the high-6% range.
At its February 2024 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. This decision supports progress of inflation to the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range within a reasonable timeframe and continued moderate growth in employment.
Your monthly payment for a $300,000 mortgage and a 30-year loan term could range from $1,798 to $2,201, depending on your interest rate and other factors. Learn more about the upfront and long-term costs of a home loan. Aly J. Yale is a personal finance journalist with more than 12 years of experience.
Your payments might go down if the base rate is reduced and go up if the rate increases. If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, your payments won't change until your fixed-rate period ends and you move to your lender's standard variable rate.
Current mortgage interest rates in California. As of Sunday, January 12, 2025, current interest rates in California are 7.33% for a 30-year fixed mortgage and 6.61% for a 15-year fixed mortgage.
The advertised rate, or nominal interest rate, is used when calculating the interest expense on your loan. For example, if you were considering a mortgage loan for $200,000 with a 6% interest rate, your annual interest expense would amount to $12,000, or $1,000 a month through the year.
On a $400,000 mortgage with an interest rate of 6%, your monthly payment would be $2,398 for a 30-year loan and $3,375 for a 15-year one.
If you're looking for a mortgage rate below 6% now, multiple avenues can help you get there. You'll just need to be strategic in your approach. This involves buying mortgage points, considering an adjustable-rate mortgage, and boosting your credit score - or a combination of those tactics.
Some economists are forecasting that interest rates will drop further, possibly to 3.25% or 3.5% by the end of the year. However, stubborn inflation could hold back the pace of interest rate cuts. The market is currently pricing in two rate cuts in 2025. Bear in mind that the mortgage rate is just one aspect of a deal.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) in its 2025 finance forecast indicates that mortgage rates will gradually slide from 6.6% at the beginning of 2025 to 6.3% through 2026. The National Association of Home Builders is forecasting 6.12% in 2025 and 5.71% in 2026.
Which bank gives the highest interest rate on FD? As of 2024, Canara Bank offers the highest interest rate of 7.25% for 444 days.
The bottom line. Predicting exactly when mortgage rates will hit 5% is difficult. It could happen by late 2025, but market conditions could speed up or delay this timeline. "Some consumers feel rates will drop in the next two to four months [but] that may never happen," says Rathbun.
Currently, in 2023, 4% is considered a good rate for a mortgage, compared to the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, which is 6.67%. Disclaimer: Many factors affect your credit scores and the interest rates you may receive.
Even though interest rates are still high, it's a great time to buy a house. The higher interest rates have priced some buyers out of the market, which means you could face less competition when you make offers. Plus, if interest rates do eventually go down significantly, you can always refinance to get the lower rate.
Real-estate company Bright MLS expects the 30-year mortgage rate to average 6.4% in 2025, and fall to 6.25% by the end of 2025, according to a forecast released Wednesday. As long as the U.S. economy is strong, rates are expected to stay over 6%.
The lowest average mortgage rates on record came about when the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate in 2020 and 2021 in response to the pandemic. As a result, the weekly average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 2.65%, while the average 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage sunk to 2.10%.