Day trading isn't inherently gambling, but it can easily become gambling-like behavior if done without discipline, research, and risk management; while gambling relies purely on chance, day trading involves analyzing market data (charts, indicators, patterns) and playing the odds, but the high-risk, short-term focus and emotional thrill often blur the lines, leading to impulsive decisions and addictive patterns similar to problem gambling.
Day trading presents similarities with some types of gambling, mainly with online and skill-based gambling. Even though day trading is not solely based on chance, due to its characteristic of short time between purchases and sales, it is often vulnerable to sudden price changes.
Unlike gambling, trading and investing are not entirely random because the application of technical and fundamental analysis with proven techniques and strategies gives traders an edge. Additionally, the price of assets is determined by the actions of investors.
The "24-year-old trader making $8 million" refers primarily to Jack Kellogg, a successful day trader who reported over $8 million in gains from trading in 2020 and 2021, starting with just $7,500 and leveraging key indicators like VWAP, support/resistance, volume, and linear regression for simple, adaptable strategies. His story highlights achieving significant returns by weathering different market conditions, learning from losses, and sticking to core principles rather than overcomplicating things.
The "90-90-90 rule" in trading is a harsh reality check stating that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their money within the first 90 days, highlighting the high failure rate due to emotional decisions, poor risk management, and lack of education/strategy. It serves as a cautionary tale, emphasizing that success requires discipline, a solid trading plan, continuous learning, and strict risk control (like risking only 1-2% per trade) to avoid the common pitfalls that wipe out most beginners.
The 84% Rule in trading is a concept where traders re-enter a trade at the same key level with identical parameters (stop-loss, target) after an initial stop-out, expecting an ~84% success rate for the second attempt, especially after a fake-out or liquidity grab, leveraging the idea that the market often respects the original level despite the initial false move. It's a trade management technique to recover losses or capitalize on high-probability setups when price returns to the original thesis, often involving identifying market imbalances like Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) for confirmation.
Most traders don't fail because they're incapable. They quit because progress in trading is quiet, slow, and uncomfortable. In the early phase, mistakes are obvious. Losses are frequent, and feedback is clear.
One popular method is the 2% Rule, which means you never put more than 2% of your account equity at risk (Table 1). For example, if you are trading a $50,000 account, and you choose a risk management stop loss of 2%, you could risk up to $1,000 on any given trade.
Day trading requires a basic foundation in mathematics to make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. This guide will cover the essential mathematical knowledge and skills needed to succeed in day trading.
Stock Trading is Not Gambling: A technical analysis journey from stop loss to profitable trade.
Most independent day traders have short days, working two to five hours per day. Often they will practice making simulated trades for several months before beginning to make live trades. They track their successes and failures versus the market, aiming to learn by experience.
The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your trading capital, close the position.
This means you can still trade, or open new positions, but you'll be restricted from day-trading. If you violate these restrictions, what might happen next will vary depending on your broker. But in many cases, your account will be restricted to exiting (i.e., liquidating) positions only.
Some have interpreted this to mean investing 70% of a portfolio in stocks and 30% in bonds, although work-outs seem to suggest special situations, which differ from bonds. Either way, Buffett has given different investment advice to investors based on their experience.
Takashi Kotegawa, also known as BNF, is a legendary Japanese day trader who famously turned an initial capital of around $13,600 into an astounding $153 million in approximately eight years.