Liquidity is crucial in uncertain times. “I've seen people struggle during a recession because their assets were too tied up in investments. This is why I suggest keeping some of your money in cash or in easily liquidated instruments like Treasury bills,” Kovar said.
Seek Out Core Sector Stocks
If you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy.
The simple answer is that during recessions people tend to lose their jobs, and when you don't have cash coming in for a while it's very important to have savings available to spend. That buffer could save you from losing your home or worse.
You can keep money in a bank account during a recession and it will be safe through FDIC and NCUA deposit insurance. Up to $250,000 is secure in individual bank accounts and $500,000 is safe in joint bank accounts.
However, while the average recession lasts just 11 months, it generally takes the market more than two years to bounce back to its pre-bear peak. So, the first thing you should do to make your portfolio more recession-resistant is shore up your cash reserves.
Inflation Is Eating Away at Your Funds
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average rate of inflation from April 2023 to April 2024 was 3.4%. If you've been keeping your money in a savings account with a lower yield than the rate of inflation, you should switch over to a higher-yield account.
Stocks and bonds have relatively low transaction costs, allow you to diversify more easily and leave your cash more liquid than real estate (although the stock market is typically more volatile than the housing market). Meanwhile, real estate is a hedge against inflation and has tax advantages.
As long as your deposit accounts are at banks or credit unions that are federally insured and your balances are within the insurance limits, your money is safe. Banks are a reliable place to keep your money protected from theft, loss and natural disasters. Cash is usually safer in a bank than it is outside of a bank.
Avoid becoming a co-signer on a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt. Don't quit your job if you aren't prepared for a long search for a new one. If you own your own business, consider postponing spending on capital improvements and taking on new debt until the recovery has begun.
“The demand for travel and hospitality services typically declines as consumers cut back on discretionary spending,” Sarib Rehman, CEO of Flipcost, said. “To attract customers, airlines, hotels and travel agencies often lower their prices and offer more promotions.”
The Bottom Line
CDs are a comparatively safe investment. They can provide a stable income regardless of stock market conditions when they're managed properly. Always consider emergency money that you might need in the future when you're thinking of purchasing a CD or starting a CD ladder.
About Recessions and Ensuring Deposit Insurance
If the United States were to enter a recession, the funds you have saved at a bank aren't at risk of becoming lost or inaccessible the same way they were during the Great Depression.
For goals one to two years away — or even three to five years away — it makes sense to allocate cash to make sure the money is there when you need it, according to Cox. "But anything beyond five years, I would seriously consider putting that money into stocks or other more risky assets," Cox said.
Single income: Save six months or more
Generally, single individuals or families with a single income should save at least six months of expenses, experts say. But higher levels of cash reserves could offer more flexibility when faced with a job loss or economic downturn.
Your bank may have a withdrawal limit, and for larger withdrawals, you may need to order the money in advance. The more money you need, the more likely this is. A $5,000 or $10,000 withdrawal may be fine, but $50,000 or $100,000 could require some waiting.
It's a good idea to keep at least a day's worth of expenses in cash, suggests Brenton Harrison, a Tennessee-based CFP at Henderson Financial Group. While this can vary depending on your day-to-day spending habits, Harrison recommends thinking of how much money you rely on to get through your normal 24 hours.
The first line of defense, federal deposit insurance from the FDIC, has worked reliably to date. To avoid a financial hit if your bank fails, stick to insured institutions and account types, stay under account balance limits and use different ownership arrangements.
Cash Is Helpful During Emergencies
Having cash ensures you can still make essential purchases and avoid ATM fees.” With multiple drastic scenarios impacting consumers over the past few years, it makes sense that they would want to hold on to cash just to feel prepared for what may come next.
In a recession, it's smart to preserve your capital by investing in safer assets, such as bonds, particularly government bonds, which can perform well during economic downturns.
Having cash on hand is always a good idea. Cash delivers safety in troubled times. Experts recommend keeping three to six months' worth of cash to cover living expenses when people lose their jobs.
It's a good idea to keep enough cash at home to cover two months' worth of basic necessities, some experts recommend. A locked, waterproof and fireproof safe can help protect your cash and other valuables from fire, flood or theft.
By setting withdrawal limits, the bank can control how much they have to distribute at any given time. Just as importantly, if not more so, withdrawal limits are a security feature. By limiting daily withdrawals, banks help protect their customers against unauthorized access.
Places to Keep Your Short-Term Cash
CDs, high-yield savings accounts, and money market funds are the best places to keep your cash when it comes to interest rates. And Treasury bills still offer decent yields at the lowest risk. Learn how they compare in terms of yield, liquidity, and guarantees.