As rates drop, banks can also cut back on the interest they pay to savers. So you'll typically see lower rates for deposit accounts, including savings accounts, CD accounts and money market accounts, during a recession. That's a disadvantage if you're hoping to grow your money at a great rate.
Seek Out Core Sector Stocks
If you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy.
A bank account is typically the safest place for your cash, even during an economic downturn... Even if you still have a paycheck coming in during the coronavirus situation, your financial future might seem uncertain -- and you might be feeling the need to stock up on cash, in addition to toilet paper and canned goods.
One major drawback of a CD is that account holders can't easily access their money if an unanticipated need arises. They typically have to pay a penalty for early withdrawals, which can eat up interest and can even result in the loss of principal.
CDs are one option that can help protect your investment from times of turmoil by providing stable income. The returns gained from these investments usually won't be as high as those provided by stocks but they can serve as a cushion to balance your portfolio and keep it afloat when the market is down in the dumps.
Losing money in a CD is highly unlikely. However, it's not impossible. If you're thinking about opening one, read the fine print about early withdrawal penalties, and be sure to compare more flexible options that don't have a maturity date. And even if you decide to open a CD, don't set it and forget it.
What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.
U.S. government securities—such as Treasury notes, bills, and bonds—have historically been considered extremely safe because the U.S. government guarantees timely payment of interest and principal, backed by its full faith and credit.
Don't use funds that you need soon.
Make sure you have the time horizon to weather any losses, or hold your cash in stable assets like an interest-bearing savings or checking account, money market fund, or CD—especially if you're expecting a large expense or purchase in the short-term.
About Recessions and Ensuring Deposit Insurance
If the United States were to enter a recession, the funds you have saved at a bank aren't at risk of becoming lost or inaccessible the same way they were during the Great Depression.
Keep Some Assets in Cash or Cash Equivalents
Liquidity is crucial in uncertain times. “I've seen people struggle during a recession because their assets were too tied up in investments. This is why I suggest keeping some of your money in cash or in easily liquidated instruments like Treasury bills,” Kovar said.
In a recession, it's smart to preserve your capital by investing in safer assets, such as bonds, particularly government bonds, which can perform well during economic downturns.
As Beene notes, "The recent rate cuts by the Fed have already produced small drops in the rates of CD and savings accounts at many major banks, and we're going to see that continue if interest rates drop. If you want to lock in a certain rate a CD currently provides, it would be a good idea not to wait."
Inflation Is Eating Away at Your Funds
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average rate of inflation from April 2023 to April 2024 was 3.4%. If you've been keeping your money in a savings account with a lower yield than the rate of inflation, you should switch over to a higher-yield account.
Bottom line. For the most part, if you keep your money at an institution that's FDIC-insured, your money is safe — at least up to $250,000 in accounts at the failing institution. You're guaranteed that $250,000, and if the bank is acquired, even amounts over the limit may be smoothly transferred to the new bank.
Cash equivalents are financial instruments that are almost as liquid as cash and are popular investments for millionaires. Examples of cash equivalents are money market mutual funds, certificates of deposit, commercial paper and Treasury bills. Some millionaires keep their cash in Treasury bills.
While it is legal to keep as much as money as you want at home, the standard limit for cash that is covered under a standard home insurance policy is $200, according to the American Property Casualty Insurance Association.
For workers and households, the picture was less rosy. Unemployment was at 5% at the end of 2007, reached a high of 10% in October 2009, and did not recover to 5% until 2015, nearly eight years after the beginning of the recession. Real median household income did not recover to pre-recession levels until 2016.
Stocks and bonds have relatively low transaction costs, allow you to diversify more easily and leave your cash more liquid than real estate (although the stock market is typically more volatile than the housing market). Meanwhile, real estate is a hedge against inflation and has tax advantages.
Key Takeaways
CDs insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) for up to $250,000 cannot lose money even if the bank fails. However, some CDs that are not FDIC-insured may carry greater risk, and risks may come from rising inflation or interest rates.
If you put $500 in a CD for five years, how much would you make? This depends on the CD rate. A five-year CD at a competitive online bank could have a rate of 4.00% APY, which would earn around $108 in interest in five years. A five-year CD with a 1% rate would earn about $26.
CDs can be a good place to save money that you don't plan to spend right away if you're interested in a safe way to earn interest. Keeping all of your money in CDs, however, could mean missing out on the chance to earn higher returns elsewhere.