Okay, if you trust your investment strategy, instead of selling the stocks fearing the recession, you should probably buy more of them during their lows. However, if you are skeptical of your investment decision, it is better to simply sell them off and buy them back when they are back on track.
Not many people know when a recession is coming or when the market is going to have a big correction down. If you knew this information you can make a lot of money by just shorting the market right before the recession. So no, cashing out wouldn't be the best thing to do, just switch around your investments.
Seek Out Core Sector Stocks
If you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy.
A bank account is typically the safest place for your cash, even during an economic downturn... Even if you still have a paycheck coming in during the coronavirus situation, your financial future might seem uncertain -- and you might be feeling the need to stock up on cash, in addition to toilet paper and canned goods.
Avoid becoming a co-signer on a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt. Don't quit your job if you aren't prepared for a long search for a new one. If you own your own business, consider postponing spending on capital improvements and taking on new debt until the recovery has begun.
Inflation Is Eating Away at Your Funds
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average rate of inflation from April 2023 to April 2024 was 3.4%. If you've been keeping your money in a savings account with a lower yield than the rate of inflation, you should switch over to a higher-yield account.
For nonretirees, that means setting aside three to six months' worth of living expenses in a relatively safe, liquid account—such as an interest-bearing checking account, money market savings account, money market fund, or short-term CD—plus enough cash to cover any upcoming sizable expenses, such as tuition payments.
Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.
“The demand for travel and hospitality services typically declines as consumers cut back on discretionary spending,” Sarib Rehman, CEO of Flipcost, said. “To attract customers, airlines, hotels and travel agencies often lower their prices and offer more promotions.”
Regardless of the economic climate, investors need emergency savings to cover expenses in the event of a job loss or other unexpected bills, experts say. However, savings benchmarks can depend on your family's circumstances.
The Bottom Line
CDs are a comparatively safe investment. They can provide a stable income regardless of stock market conditions when they're managed properly. Always consider emergency money that you might need in the future when you're thinking of purchasing a CD or starting a CD ladder.
About Recessions and Ensuring Deposit Insurance
If the United States were to enter a recession, the funds you have saved at a bank aren't at risk of becoming lost or inaccessible the same way they were during the Great Depression.
On average, it takes around five months for a correction to bottom out, but once the market reaches that point and starts to turn positive, it recovers in around four months. Stock market crashes, however, usually take much longer to fully recover.
Money Market Funds
Ultra-conservative investors and unsophisticated investors often stash their cash in money market funds. While these funds provide a high degree of safety, they should only be used for short-term investment. There's no need to avoid equity funds when the economy is slowing.
Having a diversified 401(k) of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in stocks, bonds and even cash can help protect your retirement savings in the event of an economic downturn. How much you choose to allocate to different investments depends in part on how close you are to retirement.
When things are looking bleak, consider holding on to your investments. Selling during market lows can be one of the worst things you can do for your portfolio — it locks in losses.
The bounce-back from the 2008 crash took five and a half years, but an additional half year to regain your purchasing power.
It is nearly impossible to accurately predict short-term movement in the market. Jumping into and out of equity investments could jeopardize a long-term retirement savings plan. For those who have shifted out of stock market investing, easing back into the market gradually can help get their strategy on track.
The industries known to fare better during recessions are generally those that supply the population with essentials we can't live without. They include utilities, healthcare, consumer staples, and, in some pundits' opinions, maybe even technology.
Stocks and bonds have relatively low transaction costs, allow you to diversify more easily and leave your cash more liquid than real estate (although the stock market is typically more volatile than the housing market). Meanwhile, real estate is a hedge against inflation and has tax advantages.
“Banks are generally considered the safest place to keep cash, since accounts insured by the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) protect individual deposits up to $250,000,” he said.
You shouldn't oversaturate your investment accounts either, as you'll still only get $250,000 in FDIC insurance per type of account. But you can have a retirement account, a single account, a joint account and other types and still get the $250,000 in FDIC insurance per type of account, even within the same bank.
It's a good idea to keep enough cash at home to cover two months' worth of basic necessities, some experts recommend. A locked, waterproof and fireproof safe can help protect your cash and other valuables from fire, flood or theft.
As a general rule, if you withdraw funds before age 59 ½, you'll trigger an IRS tax penalty of 10%. The good news is that there's a way to take your distributions a few years early without incurring this penalty. This is known as the rule of 55.