Our stock market forecasting model, which incorporates dividend yield along with other measures, currently points to a 10-year annualized return range of approximately 4.0% to 5.3% for the S&P 500® Index.
Other long-term forecasts, compiled by Morningstar, show U.S. equities returning between 4-7% on average over the next 10-15 years, with higher expectations for international stocks. In most cases, these predictions still see U.S. stocks outperforming U.S. corporate bonds.
Based on total return, the average stock market return is about 13% over the past 10 years. Since 1965, the S&P 500 has provided annualized total returns of 10.2% through 2023, according to data compiled by Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB).
$3,000 X 12 months = $36,000 per year. $36,000 / 6% dividend yield = $600,000. On the other hand, if you're more risk-averse and prefer a portfolio yielding 2%, you'd need to invest $1.8 million to reach the $3,000 per month target: $3,000 X 12 months = $36,000 per year.
While the term good is subjective, many professionals consider a good ROI to be 10.5% or greater for investments in stocks. This number is the standard because it's the average return of the S&P 500 , an index that serves as a benchmark of the overall performance of the U.S. stock market.
S&P 500 Investment Time Machine
Imagine you put $1,000 into either fund 10 years ago. You'd be up to roughly 126.4% — or $3,282 — from VOO and 126.9% — or $3,302 — from SPY. That's not exactly wealthy, but it shows how you can more than triple your money by holding an asset with relatively low long-term risk.
Buy $4000 worth of goods at wholesale, resell them with a 150% markup. Pay your taxes. Done. Invest some of the money in tools and supplies and provide a service.
Invest in Dividend Stocks
Last but certainly not least, a stock portfolio focused on dividends can generate $1,000 per month or more in perpetual passive income. However, at an example 4% dividend yield, you would need a portfolio worth $300,000, which is a substantial upfront investment.
Our 3% annualized 10-year return forecast for the S&P 500 is below the consensus average of 6%. We collected publicly available data on the long-term capital markets assumptions of 21 asset managers and constructed a distribution of the US equity return component of these capital markets assumptions.
Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla. Those of you that have flipped on CNBC either on purpose or by accident sometime in the past two years may know those companies as the so-called Magnificent Seven, or “Mag 7” in Wall Street-speak.
For example, the Rule of 72 states that $1 invested at an annual fixed interest rate of 10% would take 7.2 years ((72 ÷ 10) = 7.2) to grow to $2. In reality, a 10% investment will take 7.3 years to double (1.107.3 = 2). The Rule of 72 is reasonably accurate for low rates of return.
How long should I hold a stock to make a return on investment? While it varies, holding a stock for at least 3-5 years allows you to ride out market volatility and benefit from long-term growth. Historically, long-term holding increases the chances of positive returns.
One of those tools is known as the Rule 72. For example, let's say you have saved $50,000 and your 401(k) holdings historically has a rate of return of 8%. 72 divided by 8 equals 9 years until your investment is estimated to double to $100,000.
You would have more than doubled your money, with a total investment worth of $2,029.55. That's a 103% return, or a 7.23% annual rate of return. Interestingly, despite Coke's dominance on the world stage, investing in Coke's main rival, Pepsi, 10 years ago would have given you more pop for your buck.
Warren Buffett has said that 90 percent of the money he leaves to his wife should be invested in stocks, with just 10 percent in cash. Does that work for non-billionaires? As far as asset allocation advice goes, 90 percent in stocks sounds pretty aggressive.
$10,000 invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2000 would have grown to $32,527 over 20 years — an average return of 6.07% per year.
A good return on investment is generally considered to be around 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, adjusted for inflation. The average return of the U.S. stock market is around 10% per year, adjusted for inflation, dating back to the late 1920s.
Yes, it's possible to retire on $1 million today. In fact, with careful planning and a solid investment strategy, you could possibly live off the returns from a $1 million nest egg.
The table below shows the present value (PV) of $20,000 in 10 years for interest rates from 2% to 30%. As you will see, the future value of $20,000 over 10 years can range from $24,379.89 to $275,716.98.