Expert Projections of Interest Rates in the Next Few Years
2025: 3.4% 2026: 2.9% 2027: 2.9% (according to Federal Reserve Bank members and presidents, the median projection for rates after 2026 is 2.8% with a range of 2.4% to 4.9%)
Though mortgage rates have fallen from their 8% peaks, the decline has been slow and gradual. Over the past 12 months, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has fluctuated between 6.5% and 7.5%. Most housing economists had expected mortgage rates to drop to 6% by the end of 2024, moving into the mid-5% range in 2025.
In our 2025 mortgage forecast, experts outlined a rough range between 5% and 7% for the average 30-year fixed mortgage. Most housing market forecasts predict rates landing around 6.4% at the end of the year.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC in 2023 that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.
and then projects that mortgage interest rates – in particular the 30-year fixed rate, which is closely tied to the federal funds rate and the 10-year Treasury note yield – will remain elevated, and only decline 0.2 percent from 6.5 percent in 2025 to 5.9 percent in 2027.
Why mortgage rates won't drop to 2% again. Again, when mortgage rates hit record lows early in the pandemic, the federal funds rate was near zero. Barring another major economic shock, the Fed projects that the federal funds rate will only take modest adjustments downward over the next several years.
However, nearly every economic forecast is predicting lower rates in 2024. The Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Finance Forecast for September 2023 predicts 30-year fixed mortgage rates will be in the 5% range for most of 2024: Q1: 6.1%
Falling interest rates expected to drive recovery in the second half of 2025, says CIBC's chief economist.
Locking in early can help you get what you were budgeting for from the start. As long as you close before your rate lock expires, any increase in rates won't affect you. The ideal time to lock your mortgage rate is when interest rates are at their lowest, but this is hard to predict — even for the experts.
Credit card rates will edge off their record highs but remain pricey. By the end of 2025, McBride predicts that the average credit card annual percentage rate (APR) will fall 0.47 percentage point from its year-end 2024 level (20.27%).
Mortgage points, also called discount points, lower your interest rate for the life of the mortgage. A lender may allow borrowers to purchase as little as a fraction of a point or up to four points. One mortgage point typically costs 1% of your loan and permanently lowers your interest rate by about 0.25%.
3.4% expected in September. That implies two more 25 basis point cuts from where rates are today. In 2026, the FOMC expects to cut by another 50 bps, to 3.4%.
We forecast existing home sales to total 4.25 million in 2025, an improvement of 4.8 percent compared to our expected 2024 sales pace of 4.06 million, but still down 20.3 percent compared to 2019.
Average personal loan rates started at 11.93% in 2024. Rates were relatively unchanged for most of 2024, ending the year at 12.29%. Personal loan rates may be headed lower in 2025, but you'll need good credit to snag the best rates.
Today's rates seem high compared with the recent 2% rates of the pandemic era. But experts say getting below 3% on a 30-year fixed mortgage is unlikely without a severe economic downturn.
Reduce your loan term
Making the equivalent of two extra mortgage payments per year, for example, will knock off 9 years and 4 months from the total term of your loan. A shorter mortgage term also means that you'll own your house outright sooner.
In our 2025 mortgage forecast, experts outlined a rough range between 5% and 7% for the average 30-year fixed mortgage. Most housing market forecasts predict rates landing around 6.4% at the end of the year.
The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts in its Mortgage Finance Forecast that mortgage rates will gradually slide from 6.6% at the beginning of 2025 to 6.3% throughout 2026. Unlike Fannie Mae, MBA does point to the presidential election as a reason for its upward revisions over the past two months.
While it's a bummer of an answer, experts say it's unlikely consumers will see house prices drop meaningfully during 2024. Home prices will drop when a mixture of economic factors favorably collide — primarily lower interest rates and increased housing supply.
The bottom line. Predicting exactly when mortgage rates will hit 5% is difficult. It could happen by late 2025, but market conditions could speed up or delay this timeline. "Some consumers feel rates will drop in the next two to four months [but] that may never happen," says Rathbun.
Mortgage rates have tended to fall in response to recent recessions.
Generally, you can get a maximum of two simultaneous mortgages on a single property. You will have a first mortgage — called the first-position mortgage — and you can get a second mortgage — called the second-position mortgage.