What was Mr Buffett's famous $1 million dollar bet?

Asked by: Triston Barrows  |  Last update: July 8, 2026
Score: 4.5/5 (35 votes)

In 2007, Warren Buffett wagered $1 million that a low-cost Vanguard S&P 500 index fund would outperform a curated portfolio of five funds-of-hedge-funds over a decade. The bet, which ran from 2008–2017, proved that passive, low-fee investing superiorly beats high-fee, active management, with the S&P 500 returning 7.1% annually compared to 2.2% for the hedge funds.

What was Warren Buffett's biggest bet?

On 1st January 2008, legendary investor Warren Buffett entered into a $1m bet with Protege Partners LLC. Buffett wagered that the S&P 500 index would outperform the average return of five hedge funds selected by Protege over the subsequent decade. Buffett went on to win the bet, and around $2.2m was donated to charity.

What is Warren Buffett's famous rule?

1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1."1 Buffett also underscores the philosophy of investing in businesses, not stocks.

What was Warren Buffett's 10 year bet?

Back in 2007, Warren Buffett made a bold move. The legendary investor bet $1 million that a simple, no-frills S&P 500 index fund could beat a selection of hand-picked hedge funds over 10 years. Experts manage the hedge funds, and for that, they charge a layer of fees.

What was Buffett's first million?

However, the billionaire's fondness for the product is more than just the taste—it's the life-changing impact it had on his career. Buffett's first-ever job was selling Coke bottles door-to-door, which helped lay the foundation to make him a millionaire by age 32 (some $10 million in today's dollars).

Buffett's $1 Million Bet: Index Funds vs. Hedge Funds

24 related questions found

Who owns 88% of the stock market?

A 2019 study by Harvard Business Review found either Vanguard, BlackRock or State Street is the largest listed owner of 88% of S&P 500 companies. There is a perception that a few select companies own a vast majority of the stock market.

What is the 8 8 8 rule of Warren Buffett?

Warren Buffett's 8+8+8 Rule is a concept for a balanced life, suggesting dividing your day into three equal 8-hour segments: 8 hours for work, 8 hours for sleep, and 8 hours for yourself (personal growth, family, health). While it emphasizes smart work and rest for productivity, critics note real-life factors like commuting and chores can make perfect balance challenging, but the core idea promotes intentional time management for well-being and success. 

Has Warren Buffett ever gambled?

Often, they didn't. On one fateful solo trip, Buffett lost all his money after betting on every race to try and recover his earlier losses – breaking what he'd later call the cardinal sin of gambling.

What are Buffett's biggest investment mistakes?

Buffett views buying ConocoPhillips at high prices as a costly error. The investment in U.S. Air highlighted issues with capital-intensive business models. Skipping investment in Google was a missed opportunity for Buffett. Buffett acknowledges the acquisition of Dexter Shoes was a significant financial mistake.

Who bet $100 to win 1.7 million?

The bettor who placed a $100 parlay to win $1.7 million was Wayne Shelton, an Arizona man who bet on the Texas Rangers (World Series), Kansas City Chiefs (Super Bowl), and Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA Championship) to all win their respective championships in 2023-2024, cashing out for over $80,000 before the Thunder lost in the playoffs, missing the huge payout but securing a massive profit. 

What if I invested $10,000 in Apple in 1990?

Investing $10,000 in Apple (AAPL) stock in 1990 would have yielded an astronomical return, making you a multimillionaire many times over by today, with calculations suggesting it would be worth tens of millions of dollars (or potentially over $100 million with dividends reinvested) due to incredible growth, stock splits, and the success of products like the iPhone, though exact figures vary slightly based on calculation dates and dividend reinvestment, Yahoo Finance. 

What if I invested $10,000 in Bitcoin 5 years ago?

Despite extreme volatility, Bitcoin's price has skyrocketed 1,060% in the past five years as I write this. This monster gain would've turned a $10,000 initial capital outlay in October 2020 to a whopping $115,700 on Oct. 6.

What is the rule of 69 in investing?

The Rule of 69 is a simple calculation to estimate the time needed for an investment to double if you know the interest rate and if the interest is compounded. For example, if a real estate investor earns twenty percent on an investment, they divide 69 by the 20 percent return and add 0.35 to the result.

What is the rule of 40 in Buffett?

The Rule of 40 is elegantly simple yet incredibly powerful: it's calculated as the sum of revenue growth rate plus free cash flow margin. This metric was developed by venture capitalists to understand how growth balances with profitability in high-growth companies. The beauty of this metric lies in its flexibility.

Who owns 90% of the wealth in the US?

U.S. Wealth Distribution is Top Heavy

The rich half own about $156 trillion (or about 98% of it). The poorer half only own about $4 trillion. Breaking down that top half even further, the top 1% (1.3 million families) owns about $49 trillion (or about one-third of the total share) by themselves.

Was Rakesh Jhunjhunwala a trader or investor?

Besides being an active investor and stock trader, he served as chairperson and director for several companies. He was also a co-founder of Akasa Air. He was investigated for insider trading and settled with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) in 2021.