Key takeaways. The Federal Reserve is projected to cut interest rates three more times in 2025, bringing the key borrowing benchmark to 3.5-3.75 percent, according to Bankrate's 2025 Interest Rate Forecast from Chief Financial Analyst Greg McBride, CFA.
Fannie Mae: Rates Will Average 6.4% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026. The December Housing Forecast from Fannie Mae puts the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.6% in the beginning of 2025, declining to 6.1% in the first quarter of 2026.
Falling interest rates expected to drive recovery in the second half of 2025, says CIBC's chief economist.
Bankrate's key CD insights and 2025 forecast
McBride predicts that by the end of 2025, the national average APYs for 1-year and 5-year CDs will be 1.25% and 1.35%, respectively. By year's end, top-yielding 1-year CDs will earn 3.70% APY, while top 5-year CDs will earn 3.95% APY, according to McBride.
The national average rate for savings accounts is expected to be 0.35 percent by the end of 2025, with money market accounts expected to average 0.4 percent. At the end of 2025, the top-yielding nationally available money market accounts and savings accounts are projected to be at 3.8 percent APY.
Yes, you can get 6% on a CD now. As of January 10, 2025, the Financial Partners Credit Union is offering 6.00% APY on their CD rates for 8 months. The minimum deposit is $1,000.00, up to a $5,000 maximum. Check out the latest CD rates from over 400 banks and credit unions.
Expert Projections of Interest Rates in the Next Few Years
2025: 3.4% 2026: 2.9% 2027: 2.9% (according to Federal Reserve Bank members and presidents, the median projection for rates after 2026 is 2.8% with a range of 2.4% to 4.9%)
After 14 months of stagnancy, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate three times in 2024, ending the year with a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, the lowest since February 2023.
These futures can also be short-term or long-term. Short-term interest rate futures have an underlying instrument with a maturity of less than one year, while long-term interest rate futures have an underlying instrument with a maturity of over one year.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC in 2023 that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.
The fed funds target rate is now set at 4.25% to 4.50%. The Fed held rates at 5.25% to 5.50% from July 2023 to September 2024. Between March 2022 and July 2023, the Fed raised rates eleven times, from near 0%. Source: U.S. Federal Reserve, December 18, 2024.
Average personal loan rates started at 11.93% in 2024. Rates were relatively unchanged for most of 2024, ending the year at 12.29%. Personal loan rates may be headed lower in 2025, but you'll need good credit to snag the best rates.
So in 2025, expect modest declines in rates for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, according to Bankrate's chief financial analyst Greg McBride. “Even with those declines, we're not going back to a low-rate environment,” McBride said. “We're going from a high-rate environment to not as high.
Fannie Mae expects rates to average 6.4% for the year. Wells Fargo projects a slight decline, with rates averaging around 6.3% by the end of the year. Goldman Sachs predicts rates will remain above 6% through 2025.
Fed officials indicated they now expect to cut rates by just a half point in 2025, which would likely mean two rate cuts at their eight policy-setting meetings. That's down from predicting a full percentage point (or four quarter-point cuts) in their September projections.
Despite an overall reduction in borrowing costs over the past two years, the 30-year mortgage rate recently moved up from a little above 6% in September 2024 to closer to 7% in January 2025. That contrasts with longer term mortgage rates holding at historically low levels of between 2% and 3% for much of 2020 and 2021.
Locking in early can help you get what you were budgeting for from the start. As long as you close before your rate lock expires, any increase in rates won't affect you. The ideal time to lock your mortgage rate is when interest rates are at their lowest, but this is hard to predict — even for the experts.
"As we look ahead into 2025, lower CD interest rates are a possibility," says Ben Alvarado, executive vice president at California Bank and Trust. After all, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark rate three times in 2024, and many analysts expect there to be at least two more Fed rate cuts in 2025.
Oxford Economics is predicitng that base rate will eventually fall to 2.5 per cent in 2027 where it will broadly remain throughout 2028 and 2029.
Though mortgage rates have fallen from their 8% peaks, the decline has been slow and gradual. Over the past 12 months, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has fluctuated between 6.5% and 7.5%. Most housing economists had expected mortgage rates to drop to 6% by the end of 2024, moving into the mid-5% range in 2025.
Last year, the White House projection for bill rates in 2030 was 2.4%. Such a level would be much higher than has been typical since the turn of the century. Three-month bill rates averaged around 1.5% over that period.
For example, a $10,000 deposit in a five-year CD with 3.50% APY would earn around $1,877 in interest. The same CD with a 1.50% APY would earn around $773 in interest, and the same CD with a 0.01% APY would earn only $5 in interest.
While longer-term CDs may tie up your funds for years, a 6-month CD allows you to access your money relatively quickly. If you suddenly need your $5,000 for an emergency or a more lucrative investment opportunity arises, you won't have to wait years to access your funds without incurring hefty penalties.