Though mortgage rates have fallen from their 8% peaks, the decline has been slow and gradual. Over the past 12 months, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has fluctuated between 6.5% and 7.5%. Most housing economists had expected mortgage rates to drop to 6% by the end of 2024, moving into the mid-5% range in 2025.
Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years
ING's interest rate predictions indicate that in 2024, rates will start at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC in 2023 that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.
So in 2025, expect modest declines in rates for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, according to Bankrate's chief financial analyst Greg McBride. “Even with those declines, we're not going back to a low-rate environment,” McBride said. “We're going from a high-rate environment to not as high.
Ultimately, the best time to buy a car is when you need one. But if you can wait, you may be able to benefit from lower prices and interest rates in 2025. Just don't expect huge savings.
Why mortgage rates won't drop to 2% again. Again, when mortgage rates hit record lows early in the pandemic, the federal funds rate was near zero. Barring another major economic shock, the Fed projects that the federal funds rate will only take modest adjustments downward over the next several years.
The lowest average mortgage rates on record came about when the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate in 2020 and 2021 in response to the pandemic. As a result, the weekly average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 2.65%, while the average 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage sunk to 2.10%.
Ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's second term, however, the outlook is far less certain. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now expected to stay elevated between 6% and 6.5% for the next two years. Just two months ago, economists thought it would fall to the 5% range by the second half of 2025.
Getting back to 5% home loan rates will take time, experts say. "I agree with the most recent MBA forecast, expecting rates to reach 5% in the second half of 2025," says David Druey, Florida regional president of Centennial Bank. However, this is mere speculation — and several factors could change this timeline.
Oxford Economics is predicitng that base rate will eventually fall to 2.5 per cent in 2027 where it will broadly remain throughout 2028 and 2029.
The average rate on a 5 year fix in January 2025 is 4.80% which is much higher than the average rate on a 5 year fix in January 2020, which was 2.74%.
Home prices are expected to go up throughout 2025 at a rate of 3.7%. “We think the downward pressure on price growth due to this supply-side effect will slightly win out over the upward pressure on price growth due to falling mortgage rates next year (at least compared to the relative balance this year),” says Hale.
Locking in early can help you get what you were budgeting for from the start. As long as you close before your rate lock expires, any increase in rates won't affect you. The ideal time to lock your mortgage rate is when interest rates are at their lowest, but this is hard to predict — even for the experts.
Today's rates seem high compared with the recent 2% rates of the pandemic era. But experts say getting below 3% on a 30-year fixed mortgage is unlikely without a severe economic downturn.
The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. Interest Rate in the United States averaged 5.42 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 20.00 percent in March of 1980 and a record low of 0.25 percent in December of 2008.
Mortgage rates have tended to fall in response to recent recessions.
At its February 2024 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. This decision supports progress of inflation to the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range within a reasonable timeframe and continued moderate growth in employment.
You can get at most two mortgages at the same time for your home in most cases. Depending on the lender you work with, the interest rates and requirements may vary. Also, instead of a second mortgage, you can go for a home refinancing to access more loans without taking on more mortgages on your property.
Payments would be around $377 per month. According to the results, it will take you 60 months, an interest rate of 5% of $2,645, to fully pay your $20,000 car loan. However, the monthly cost of a $20,000 car loan will depend on your repayment period and the annual percentage rate (APR).
Because of the high interest rates and risk of going upside down, most experts agree that a 72-month loan isn't an ideal choice. Experts recommend that borrowers take out a shorter loan. And for an optimal interest rate, a loan term fewer than 60 months is a better way to go.
Individuals with an 800 credit score can secure an average interest rate of 5.25% for new cars and 7.13% for used cars. A high credit score allows borrowers to access favorable interest rates and loan terms, which can lower overall borrowing costs.