Seek Out Core Sector Stocks
If you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy.
A bank account is typically the safest place for your cash, even during an economic downturn... Even if you still have a paycheck coming in during the coronavirus situation, your financial future might seem uncertain -- and you might be feeling the need to stock up on cash, in addition to toilet paper and canned goods.
Keep Some Assets in Cash or Cash Equivalents
Liquidity is crucial in uncertain times. “I've seen people struggle during a recession because their assets were too tied up in investments. This is why I suggest keeping some of your money in cash or in easily liquidated instruments like Treasury bills,” Kovar said.
In a recession, it's smart to preserve your capital by investing in safer assets, such as bonds, particularly government bonds, which can perform well during economic downturns.
What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.
Don't use funds that you need soon.
Make sure you have the time horizon to weather any losses, or hold your cash in stable assets like an interest-bearing savings or checking account, money market fund, or CD—especially if you're expecting a large expense or purchase in the short-term.
Stocks and bonds have relatively low transaction costs, allow you to diversify more easily and leave your cash more liquid than real estate (although the stock market is typically more volatile than the housing market). Meanwhile, real estate is a hedge against inflation and has tax advantages.
Cash and cash equivalents can provide liquidity, portfolio stability and emergency funds. Cash equivalent securities include savings, checking and money market accounts, and short-term investments. A general rule of thumb is that cash and cash equivalents should comprise between 2% and 10% of your portfolio.
U.S. government securities—such as Treasury notes, bills, and bonds—have historically been considered extremely safe because the U.S. government guarantees timely payment of interest and principal, backed by its full faith and credit.
Inflation Is Eating Away at Your Funds
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average rate of inflation from April 2023 to April 2024 was 3.4%. If you've been keeping your money in a savings account with a lower yield than the rate of inflation, you should switch over to a higher-yield account.
“The demand for travel and hospitality services typically declines as consumers cut back on discretionary spending,” Sarib Rehman, CEO of Flipcost, said. “To attract customers, airlines, hotels and travel agencies often lower their prices and offer more promotions.”
The Bottom Line
CDs are a comparatively safe investment. They can provide a stable income regardless of stock market conditions when they're managed properly. Always consider emergency money that you might need in the future when you're thinking of purchasing a CD or starting a CD ladder.
CDs, high-yield savings accounts, and money market funds are the best places to keep your cash when it comes to interest rates. And Treasury bills still offer decent yields at the lowest risk. Learn how they compare in terms of yield, liquidity, and guarantees.
“Holding cash during times of economic uncertainty, like a potential recession, can feel reassuring because it offers liquidity and a sense of control,” said Adam Paoli, the lead financial planner at Coltiva Wealth.
Avoiding highly indebted companies, high-yield bonds and speculative investments will be important during a recession to ensure your portfolio is not exposed to unnecessary risk. Instead, it's better to focus on high-quality government securities, investment-grade bonds and companies with sound balance sheets.
In other words, if you have a solid financial plan, and your 401(k) is well-optimized, sometimes the best thing to do in a market downturn is to stay the course, especially if you are a younger investor with years until retirement.
Many families sought to cope by planting gardens, canning food, buying used bread, and using cardboard and cotton for shoe soles.
Ongoing stock market volatility and record inflation are fueling predictions of a recession. If the predictions are correct, both businesses and individuals will be looking to protect their liquidity and financial security. And one way to accomplish that is by having cash on hand.
Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution.
High-quality, dividend-paying stocks in defensive sectors like utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples can provide relative stability and income. Gold and other precious metals typically perform well during market turmoil as investors seek tangible stores of value.
Are savings accounts safe during a recession? If your savings account is with a financial institution backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) or the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA), your money is safe.
Single income: Save six months or more
Generally, single individuals or families with a single income should save at least six months of expenses, experts say. But higher levels of cash reserves could offer more flexibility when faced with a job loss or economic downturn.