It is evident that stock prices cannot be accurately predicted. There is quite a bit of research that seeks to address that challenge, offering a variety of approaches to achieving the goal (Appel, 2005; Brown et al., 1998; El-Nagar et al., 2022; and Fromlet, 2001).
Technical analysis- Analyzing the Company's past performance, future scope and competitor will be the best forecasting method for predicting the stock's price.
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1. Moving Average Indicator (MA) The moving average indicator is one of the most popular technical indicators and it's used to identify a price trend in the market.
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For short-term predictions, models like ARIMA or SVM may suffice, while for longer-term predictions involving intricate relationships, LSTM and XGBoost could provide superior performance.
The Buffett Indicator is the ratio of total US stock market value divided by GDP. Named after Warren Buffett, who called the ratio "the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment".
The formula is shown above (P/E x EPS = Price). According to this formula, if we can accurately predict a stock's future P/E and EPS, we will know its accurate future price. We use this formula day-in day-out to compute financial ratios of stocks.
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The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end.
The S&P 500, with its broader representation and status as the go-to benchmark for professional investors, provides a more comprehensive view of large-cap U.S. equities. The Nasdaq Composite, with its tech-heavy composition, helps gauge the growth sectors that often drive market news.