Student loan debt can prevent you from making major purchases like a home or a car. An economy may see fewer new businesses when there is more student loan debt. Student loan debt also limits consumer spending. Economic recovery can be more difficult when there are many people carrying student loan debt.
Is that true? While student loan repayments are a burden on many households and could impact the economy, a repeat of the widespread devastation of the Great Financial Crisis seems very unlikely.
The researchers' model posits that cancelling student loan debt won't cause an astronomical amount of inflation. To be specific, there would be a very modest uptick as a result, perhaps 1.8-1.9 percent. In fact, the policy of debt cancellation could boost the GDP by an average of $86 billion to $106 billion per year.
Carrying student debt can affect your ability to buy a home if your debt-to-income ratio is too high. If you have too much student loan debt, you won't be able to save as much for retirement. Student loan debt can lower your credit score, especially if you fail to make on-time payments.
Student loan debt slows new business growth and limits consumer spending. Broad student loan debt forgiveness may help boost the national economy by making it more affordable for borrowers to participate in it.
According to a recent Forbes Advisor and Talker Research survey of 2,000 adults, one in three respondents said they regret using student loans to finance their education and would not choose that route again if given the opportunity.
In February 2022, CRFB argued that “cancellation of all outstanding student debt would boost . . . inflation by 37 to 50 basis points.” Given that canceling all student debt is more than six times the cost of canceling $10,000, it's hard to see how these two numbers square.
Research has shown that cancellation would boost GDP by billions of dollars and add up to 1.5 million new jobs, reducing the unemployment rate. 5 Workers who are Black, Latinx, immigrants, women, and those in industries paying low wages are still facing a terrible economic situation with high levels of unemployment.
Higher education financing allows many Americans from lower- and middle-income backgrounds to invest in education. However, over the past 30 years, college tuition prices have increased faster than median incomes, leaving many Americans with large amounts of student debt that they struggle or are unable to, pay off.
The average monthly student loan payment is an estimated $500 based on previously recorded average payments and median average salaries among college graduates. The average borrower takes 20 years to repay their student loan debt.
If your monthly payment does not cover the accrued interest, your loan balance will go up, even though you're making payments. Unpaid interest will also capitalize each year until your total balance is 10% higher than the original balance. This means you will pay interest on your interest.
Student Debt vs Income by Age Groups
Among the age groups, adults between the ages of 18 and 29 are the most likely to have student loan debt. Meanwhile, adults between the ages of 35 and 49 years old on average owe the most student loan debt.
The Qualtrics/Intuit Credit Karma report found 20 percent of borrowers hadn't made any payments on their loans. The percentage was even higher, at 27 percent, for borrowers who made less than $50,000 a year.
Tuition costs being eliminated will encourage more adults to think about returning to school, keeping them competitive in changing employment markets. The entire economy benefits from an educated and skilled adult population, thus this goes beyond personal growth.
Key Takeaways. Inflation primarily affects your ability to repay your student loans by reducing your disposable income and (if you have variable-rate student loans) increasing your interest rate. If your employer adjusts your income to keep pace with inflation, then your monthly student loan payment may also increase.
Student debt will not be worth it in every situation. Borrowing a large sum and entering a low-paying career will either not pay off financially or take a painfully long time to do so.
Canceling student loan debt could help with economic opportunities by making other wealth-creating investments, such as homeownership, more feasible. Student debt has led to a 20 percent decline in homeownership among young adults. Cancellation could help reverse this trend.
Additionally, the cancelation of these loans is fundamentally unfair. It will occur at the expense of Americans who have worked hard, repaid their debts or chosen not to go to college at all. In a country that has always rewarded hard work and personal responsibility, this move is, quite simply, unprecedented.
"And if you assume there's a likelihood it's canceled, you're going to be more likely to take out more debt up front. That's going to give colleges more pricing power to raise tuition without pressure and to offer more low-value degrees."
Pro 1: Student loan debt is slowing the national economy. Forgiveness would boost the economy, benefiting everyone. When everyone can't participate in the economy, the whole economy suffers.
More jobs and higher wages increase household incomes and lead to a rise in consumer spending, further increasing aggregate demand and the scope for firms to increase the prices of their goods and services. When this happens across a large number of businesses and sectors, this leads to an increase in inflation.
One major reason for the significant rise in student debt is that more Americans are borrowing to attend college. The percentage of households with student debt has more than doubled, from 10 percent in 1992 to 21 percent in 2022.
Between 2000 and 2020, the total number of Americans owing federal student loans more than doubled from 21 million to 45 million, and the total amount they owed more than quadrupled from $387 billion to $1.8 trillion, growing much faster than any other form of household debt.