The best way to identify short squeeze candidates is to look at the number of shares short relative to a stock's average daily trading volume. This is known as the days to cover ratio. Stocks with days to cover ratios of 5 or more may be susceptible to short squeezes.
A short squeeze occurs when a stock moves higher and short sellers decide to cover their short positions or are forced to do so via margin calls. As these short sellers buy the stock, the price rises, potentially creating a situation in which more shorts have to cover.
Short squeezes are typically triggered either by unexpected good news that drives a security's price sharply higher or simply by a gradual build-up of buying pressure that begins to outweigh the selling pressure in the market.
A short squeeze occurs when a heavily-shorted stock goes up in price, causing short-sellers to cover their positions by buying back shares, driving the price of the stock up even further. During a short squeeze, a stock's price can rise so quickly and significantly that its chart resembles a rocket launch.
Short interest ratio
The higher the ratio, the higher the likelihood short sellers will help drive the price up. A short interest ratio of five or better is a good indicator that short sellers might panic, and this may be a good time to try to trade a potential short squeeze.
One of the most famous, significant and big short squeezes of the 21 century is the sharp rise in the stock price of German car maker Volkswagen AG (XETR: VOW) in 2008. Between 24 and 28 October in that year, the company's share price recorded a 376.65% growth, up from 210.85 to 1005.01 EUR.
The Bottom Line. Investors can find general shorting information about a stock on many financial websites, as well as the website of the stock exchange on which the stock is listed. The short interest ratio is calculated by dividing the number of a company's shares that have been sold short by the average daily volume.
MOASS stands for “Mother of All Short Squeezes,” a phenomenon where stock prices skyrocket due to mass buying. It gained prominence with the GameStop stock saga, where day traders challenged large hedge funds. The strategy involves a high volume of purchases to drive up stock prices, countering short sellers.
Although some short squeezes may occur naturally in the market, a scheme to manipulate the price or availability of stock in order to cause a short squeeze is illegal. In the end, short-sellers are considered well informed investors who have the ability to identify overvalued stocks.
The GameStop short squeeze, starting in January 2021, was a short squeeze occurring on shares of GameStop, primarily triggered by the Reddit forum WallStreetBets. This squeeze led to the share price reaching an all-time intraday high of US$483 on January 28, 2021 on the NYSE.
When celebrities make negative remarks about a brand, there are instances where the company has lost billions as a direct result. But equally, when a famous face makes an investment into a firm, or sings its praises, the company's shares have seen a major uptick.
Once the short-sellers have paid back their lenders, the market runs out of buyers who will pay any price for that stock. And the share prices often fall as quickly as they rose. The danger to traders in a short squeeze is that they'll get in too late and stay in too long and lose money.
It occurs when a security has a significant amount of short sellers, meaning lots of investors are betting on its price falling. A short squeeze begins when the price of an asset unexpectedly jumps higher. It gains momentum as a significant number of the short sellers decide to cut losses and exit their positions.
Understanding the short squeeze
But the upside is unlimited. If a stock has a growth narrative and there are enough believers, the share price can go well beyond what looks reasonable by traditional fundamental metrics.
For traders, a short ratio between 8 and 10 days or even higher is considered an opportunity. On an occasion like this, the gap becomes difficult to be covered and the short sellers will be forced to buy and raise the price of the stock higher.
The all-time high GameStop stock closing price was 86.88 on January 27, 2021. The GameStop 52-week high stock price is 64.83, which is 109% above the current share price. The GameStop 52-week low stock price is 9.95, which is 67.9% below the current share price.
The Direct Registration System (DRS) allows registered securities to be held in electronic form without having a physical security certificate issued as evidence of ownership.
Some big names lost money on GameStop, but others made a bundle. The same goes for everyday investors — some won, some lost, and plenty were just in it for the casino-like ride. Wall Street is paying more attention to individual investors than it used to, but they're not keeping CEOs up at night, either.
How to find short squeeze stocks. Searching for stocks that have potential for a short squeeze involves a screening process. This usually focuses on two aspects: a short interest of around 20% and over, and an average daily share volume of over 100,000. This means that the short interest ratio is likely to be higher.
Put simply, a short sale involves the sale of a stock an investor does not own. When an investor engages in short selling, two things can happen. If the price of the stock drops, the short seller can buy the stock at the lower price and make a profit. If the price of the stock rises, the short seller will lose money.
Even so, the gains posted by Ambrx Biopharma (AMAM) in Friday's session are unusual and particularly eye-catching. The stock soared to the tune of a hardly believable 1007% after the company announced pleasing results from the mid-stage testing of its breast cancer drug ARX788.
Missing the market's best days
Our research also showed that over the same time period, missing the best 40 days took the average annual return nearly flat to 0.44%, and missing the best 50 days resulted in a -0.86% annual return, on average.
A short squeeze occurs when a heavily shorted stock begins to move higher, prompting short sellers to cover their positions by buying some or all of the shares they previously borrowed and sold, which in turn pushes the stock price even higher.