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The National Association of Home Builders expects the 30-year mortgage rate to decrease to around 6.5% by the end of 2024 and fall below 6% by the end of 2025, according to the group's latest outlook.
CD account interest rates will drop
After all, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark rate three times in 2024, and many analysts expect there to be at least two more Fed rate cuts in 2025.
Despite an overall reduction in borrowing costs over the past two years, the 30-year mortgage rate recently moved up from a little above 6% in September 2024 to closer to 7% in January 2025. That contrasts with longer term mortgage rates holding at historically low levels of between 2% and 3% for much of 2020 and 2021.
Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years
ING's interest rate predictions indicate that in 2024, rates will start at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.
Today's rates seem high compared with the recent 2% rates of the pandemic era. But experts say getting below 3% on a 30-year fixed mortgage is unlikely without a severe economic downturn.
At its February 2024 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. This decision supports progress of inflation to the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range within a reasonable timeframe and continued moderate growth in employment.
Expert Projections of Interest Rates in the Next Few Years
According to the St. Louis Fed, interest rates in the coming years are expected to be: 2025: 3.4% 2026: 2.9%
Mortgage rates to hold near decade-plus highs, in what could feel like a 'new normal' for the housing market. By the end of 2025, McBride predicts that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will fall 0.54 percentage point from its year-end 2024 level (7.04%).
UK interest rates will fall “four times” or more in 2025 -- to at least 3.75% by the end of the year. A majority of economists made this two-fold forecast before UK long-term borrowing yesterday crept up to its highest level since 1998.
As Beene notes, "The recent rate cuts by the Fed have already produced small drops in the rates of CD and savings accounts at many major banks, and we're going to see that continue if interest rates drop. If you want to lock in a certain rate a CD currently provides, it would be a good idea not to wait."
However, interest rates predictions are difficult as any further cuts depend on factors such as what happens with inflation. So predictions will have to be revised. For example, in January 2024, Capital Economics forecast that interest rates would be reduced to 4.00% by the end of 2024.
Yes, you can get 6% on a CD now. As of January 10, 2025, the Financial Partners Credit Union is offering 6.00% APY on their CD rates for 8 months. The minimum deposit is $1,000.00, up to a $5,000 maximum. Check out the latest CD rates from over 400 banks and credit unions.
Which bank gives the highest interest rate on FD? As of 2024, Canara Bank offers the highest interest rate of 7.25% for 444 days.
CD rates have been falling as the Fed cuts the federal funds rate. Further rate cuts are expected in 2025, although the current outlook is less dramatic than originally predicted. CD rates are expected to decline in 2025, but some institutions will still offer above-average CD rates.
Key takeaways. The Federal Reserve is expected to lower rates by at least 100 basis points through the end of 2024. As such, primary mortgage rates could fall by as much as 60 bps over the next year — and by even more if the rates market begins to price in more cuts than are currently expected.
The Fed is widely expected to announce another 25bps cut to the federal funds rate at its December 2024 meeting, marking the third consecutive reduction this year and bringing borrowing costs to the 4.25%-4.5% range.
There is no federally mandated maximum interest rate for credit cards. For credit cards, the CARD Act offers various protections and provides more transparency when it comes to rates.
For only the third time in 2024, the Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate. On Dec. 18, the Fed cut the rate, which influences interest on everything from car loans to credit cards, by 25 basis points. That takes it from 4.50% to 4.75% to 4.25% to 4.50%, the lowest it's been since February 2023.
Falling interest rates expected to drive recovery in the second half of 2025, says CIBC's chief economist.
The current median projection among the central bank's top minds is that the federal funds rate will average 3.4% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, down 1% in the next year and 1.5% in the long run.
Mortgage rates work differently. Their movements are more closely tied to demand for government bonds. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall. But thanks to strong economic growth in the pandemic era, demand for those bonds has weakened.
Why mortgage rates won't drop to 2% again. Again, when mortgage rates hit record lows early in the pandemic, the federal funds rate was near zero. Barring another major economic shock, the Fed projects that the federal funds rate will only take modest adjustments downward over the next several years.
The lowest average mortgage rates on record came about when the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate in 2020 and 2021 in response to the pandemic. As a result, the weekly average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 2.65%, while the average 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage sunk to 2.10%.