Will small caps outperform in 2025?

Asked by: Grant Dickinson  |  Last update: July 31, 2025
Score: 4.1/5 (30 votes)

Positioning for 2025 We believe the main headwinds for small cap are turning into tailwinds, which should be supportive of outperformance in 2025 and beyond. Given the depressed valuations, we see strong asymmetry in the asset class and a positive setup going forward.

Will small caps do well in 2025?

We expect small-cap earnings growth could exceed that of large-cap stocks in 2025, aided by easier earnings comparisons.

Do small caps outperform long term?

However, between the end of 2008 and the end of 2023 small caps have outperformed, delivering a cumulative return of 521% against 466% for the large cap index over the 15-year period – although past performance should not be seen as a guide to future returns.

What are the predictions for the small-cap?

Looking ahead, S&P 500 stocks are currently forecast to generate 13% EPS growth in 2025 and 13.1% growth in 2026 (versus 8.5% EPS growth in 2025), while the S&P SmallCap 600 Index is currently forecast to generate EPS growth of 20.9% in 2025 and 18.6% EPS growth in 2026 (versus minus 8.0% EPS growth in 2024), according ...

Is SmallCap good for long term?

Yes, small cap mfs are good on long term investment. 20 years time period is considered as a appropriate view on smallcap investment. That is because smallcap mfs are normally aggressive in nature. Once volatility will come, the first customer which will jump first to fire it will smallcap.

“Small Cap to Outperform S&P 500 by 100% in 2025” - BEST SMALL CAP ETF TO BUY NOW

31 related questions found

Which small-cap fund is best for 10 years?

Overview of Top 10 Best Mutual Funds to Invest for 10 Years
  • Nippon India Small Cap Fund. ...
  • SBI Small Cap Fund. ...
  • Quant ELSS Tax Saver Fund. ...
  • Motilal Oswal Midcap Fund. ...
  • Quant Small Cap Fund. ...
  • HSBC Small Cap Fund. ...
  • Edelweiss Mid Cap Fund. ...
  • Kotak Small Cap Fund.

Do small caps outperform during recession?

Most investors think smaller companies underperform in a recession. In most cases, they are correct. However, what's less well-known is that small caps usually exit recessions quicker than assumed – outperforming large caps. This rebound can begin as early as three months into an economic downturn.

Is it good to invest in small-cap in 2024?

Small cap mutual funds saw inflows of Rs 34,223 crore in 2024, with a 33% rise in assets under management (AUM). December had the highest inflow of Rs 4,667 crore. Despite frothy valuations, small caps delivered an average return of 26.38%, with Motilal Oswal Small Cap Fund leading at 45.47%.

How long should I invest in small-cap?

With small-cap mutual funds, always opt to invest for the long Term. Therefore, the minimum period for which you should be investing in small-cap mutual funds is 5-6 years. As mentioned earlier, small-cap mutual funds tend to be very volatile. For example, they may go up and down in the short Term.

What is the outlook for small-cap stocks in 2024?

In 2024, we expect to see small-caps rebound, and we believe that the companies that meet our investment criteria – quality businesses with strong balance sheets and sustainable metrics, and undervalued relative to peers or the market – may have a strong year.

Should I get out of small-cap stocks?

The overall quality of publicly traded small caps has deteriorated, as private sponsors help top performers stay private for longer. Instead of small caps, investors should consider actively adding exposure to U.S. large-cap value and mid-cap growth stocks.

Has the Russell 2000 outperformed the S&P 500?

Since January 1, 2024 the Russell 2000 index has outperformed the S&P 500 in 47.3% of the trading sessions with average excess returns of 0.71%.

Do small caps outperform during inflation?

While small caps have historically outperformed their large-cap brethren in periods when annual inflation has exceeded 1%, the higher interest rates that come when central banks try to reduce high inflation can be challenging for small companies.

Do small caps outperform over time?

Small-caps, on average, outperform large-caps by about a percentage point for the six months after a 50 basis point cut, she writes, and the majority of those periods see small-caps outperform by any degree. They average about three percentage points of superior returns over the 12 months following such a rate cut.

What is the outlook for small-cap value?

We expect earnings to drive the next leg higher for small-cap share prices. Analysts are looking for robust earnings growth: 15% this year, and by over 30% in 2025 and 2026. That is ahead of the long run rate of 13% growth (see Exhibit 3).

How many years is a small-cap fund good for?

Filter. Small Cap Fund : These mutual funds select stocks for investment from the small cap category, which includes all stocks except largest 250 stocks (by market capitalization). Suitable For : Investors who are looking to invest money for at least 3-4 years and looking for very high returns.

Should I invest in small-cap fund for 20 years?

The recommended time frame is eight to ten years. Making these funds highly suitable for long-term investors. Small Cap Funds offer great potential to earn benchmark-beating returns. These are highly risky investments and should be considered when you can stomach the price volatility.

Does small-cap value really outperform?

Not only have small-cap stocks historically outperformed their larger peers, but they've done so strongly, by an annual average of more than 300 basis points (bps), and consistently, more than 69% of the time (Figure 1).

What is the future of the small caps?

Market Performance Trends May Benefit Small-Cap Stocks

Indeed, NVIDIA and the other Mag 7 stocks accounted for 100% of the S&P 500® Index's earnings growth from mid-2023 through the first quarter of 2024. Estimates from Wall Street analysts show us that the earnings growth tide may turn in the second half of 2024.

Is 29 too late to invest?

Compound interest is most powerful when it has a longer amount of time to grow your money but, still, it's never too late to start investing — even if you don't think you have enough money to dutifully invest $370 per month.

Is it a good time to invest in Smallcap?

The small cap segment can be extremely volatile in the short term, but they have the potential to offer very high returns over a long period. Small cap schemes are recommended only to aggressive investors with a high-risk appetite and long investment horizon, say, around seven to 10 years.

Will small caps outperform in 2024?

In July 2024, U.S. small-cap stocks outperformed large-cap stocks after lagging for the first half of the year, driven by a cooler inflation report and improved market sentiment.

What is the best asset to hold during a recession?

In a recession, it's smart to preserve your capital by investing in safer assets, such as bonds, particularly government bonds, which can perform well during economic downturns.

Are smallcaps overvalued?

As of October 19, 2024, the small cap index was overvalued at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 33.39, while the 3 year long term average stands at 24.49. But experts think there are certain sectors within the small cap that are fairly valued.